5 Crypto Futures Trading Strategies You Should Avoid

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Some crypto futures trading strategies turn an ordinary loss into much larger exposure. The five examples below explain where Martingale doubling, unplanned averaging and revenge trading can go wrong. These lessons apply across futures exchanges, including Bybit and OKX. None of these methods guarantees recovery from a losing trade.

Martingale Double-Ups

There are several ways to implement the classical Martingale technique in crypto futures trading, one of many possible trading strategies. Let’s say a trade valued at 0.1 BTC hits its stop-loss. You could double the size of the next trade and continue doing that until a trade finally hits the target.

Another way, if someone really believes in the setup, is to re-enter after the stop-loss with double the amount. If that one loses as well, the position gets doubled again. You can probably already see where this is going.

The Problem: Your total equity is limited. All it needs is one juicy losing streak to blow your entire account. Some traders use a strict two-step Martingale rule, but you still need the mental discipline to accept the loss when the second attempt fails.

Furthermore, the market may have changed. A new uptrend or downtrend may have been established, meaning the original target is no longer realistic. Doubling your position doesn’t make the original analysis correct. The market will not care; just know this.

Martingale tries to recover earlier losses by increasing the next stake. In trading, that can turn a run of ordinary losses into rapidly growing exposure. Your capital and an exchange’s margin limits are finite, so doubling cannot guarantee recovery.

Account Balance Instead of Stop/Loss

It can be hard to take a loss, but it is part of your job as a trader. Still, some traders don’t want to accept it and try to use their account balance to average their ass out of a red position.

For example, you open a futures position with a defined risk budget and a stop-loss, while leaving part of your account unused. That spare collateral is not automatically money you can safely add to a losing trade. Initial margin and the loss you are prepared to take are different amounts.

Then the position starts moving against you.

Instead of accepting the stop-loss, the gambler starts feeding more money into the position. The idea is to improve the average entry price and move further away from liquidation. If the price eventually retraces, the trader hopes to exit near break-even rather than taking the original loss.

It can work. That’s exactly what makes this strategy dangerous.

A trader does it once, the market comes back, and suddenly it feels like a smart way to avoid taking losses. Then it works again. Eventually, however, you get the trade that doesn’t come back.

The Problem: Especially in crypto, there is always the possibility that the price keeps moving strongly in one direction and doesn’t return to your break-even level. You are feeding a bleeding position and pulling the wound apart more and more.

This method becomes even more dangerous when combined with high leverage. Instead of controlling the original loss, you’re increasing your exposure while the market is already proving your position wrong.

High leverage can look attractive because it allows you to control a much larger position with relatively little capital. However, the risk increases just as quickly. The CFTC warns that leverage amplifies the underlying risk of futures trading, meaning even a relatively small price movement can have a much larger impact on your position. This is why the maximum leverage offered by an exchange should never be confused with the amount of leverage you should actually use.

Candle Martingaling

If you have no clue about technical analysis, you might be tempted to use the simple odds of candle colours. There are two ways gamblers tend to play this: following the trend or going against it.

The first is to start buying or selling based on the previous candle’s colour. For example, you’re looking at the four-hour chart and the candle closes green. The gambler buys a small amount at the start of the next candle and closes the trade at the end.

If the trade is profitable, the trader stays with the same amount. If it loses, the position gets doubled on the next candle.

Some think this works better countertrend because you are likely to double up faster and therefore get bigger orders sooner.

If this is starting to sound less like crypto futures trading and more like a roulette system, that’s because it basically is.

The Problem: You never know exactly how price will develop. Markets can move strongly in one direction and continue producing candles of the same colour for a surprisingly long time.

This technique also requires very patient hands and a strong mind. That becomes increasingly difficult when you reach the fifth or sixth double-up and watch your account balance melt away.

On top of that, the rewards can remain relatively small for a long time. The big potential rewards only arrive once the position size, and therefore the risk, becomes much larger.

Going Long AND Short

Many ingenious traders have adopted the strategy of taking positions in both directions to overcome their lack of confidence in the market’s direction.

The logic sounds attractive. If you don’t know whether Bitcoin is going up or down, why not trade both?

There are legitimate hedging and breakout strategies that involve positions or orders on both sides of the market. If the price range tightens and a breakout is coming, for example, traders can prepare for movement in either direction.

However, that is very different from blindly opening a long and short because you don’t know where the market is going.

Doing this properly requires preparation, awareness and screen time. You need a good understanding of position sizing, support and resistance, stop-loss placement and the market structure you’re actually trading.

The Problem: There is still a possibility that volatility takes out both sides. You get stopped out on one side, the market reverses, and then you get stopped out on the other.

Double stop-loss. UGH!

Crypto futures trading doesn’t suddenly become safe because you have a position in both directions. Without a clear plan for how and when each position gets closed, you’ve simply created two trades that can go wrong instead of one.

The Crypto Futures Casino YOLO Method: All-In – Go Big or Go Home

YOLO! Go big or go home.

You still see this mentality regularly in crypto trading, and it remains one of the fastest ways to burn an account.

Very high-risk, high-reward trades are attractive to a certain type of trader. Someone takes an exaggerated position size because they are convinced that this is the trade that’s going to make everything back.

Then the position begins to move against them.

Instead of closing it, they wait for a retracement. Perhaps they take 50% of the position out, accept part of the loss, and use the released funds to place another order closer to the liquidation price. The hope is that one quick move or retracement will bring the entire position back toward break-even.

Many traders are searching for the single big shot to make up for all the losses they have accumulated. Once you start thinking like that, however, you’re no longer judging the trade in front of you. You’re trying to make the current trade pay for previous mistakes.

That changes the entire decision-making process.

The Problem: Like the other examples, you simply don’t know how the price will develop. The retracement you need might never arrive.

If you’ve gone all-in with leverage, there may not be enough room to wait and see. A blown account can be the consequence.

How to Manage Risk in Crypto Futures Trading

The most important thing in crypto futures trading is proper risk management. Before opening a position, know how much you’re prepared to lose if the trade doesn’t work. Your position size, leverage, entry and stop-loss should reflect that amount.

A stop-loss isn’t something you move because you don’t like taking the loss. Likewise, adding capital to a losing position shouldn’t become an automatic response whenever a trade goes against you.

There are situations where experienced traders scale into positions, hedge exposure or use staggered orders. However, those decisions should already be part of the trading plan. They shouldn’t suddenly appear because the position is red and you don’t want to close it.

The same applies to trading signals. A signal doesn’t remove the need for risk management. However, following structured setups can help if you don’t want to identify every trade yourself. We currently monitor and compare several providers in our guide to the best crypto trading signals.

For futures traders specifically using Bybit, we also maintain a separate comparison of the best Bybit trading signals on Telegram.

The Universal Crypto Signals team is another provider we’ve followed for years, and risk management has always been an important part of our assessment of signal services. A high win rate doesn’t help much if one badly managed leveraged trade can wipe out the gains from the previous ten.

That was already true when this article was about the BitMEX casino that was shut down, and it remains true now. Exchanges change, leverage changes and trading tools improve. The basic mistake stays remarkably similar: risking too much because you’re convinced the next trade has to work.

That’s the part you need to keep under control.

Disclaimer

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Steve
Steve
Is a German tech hipster hippy influencer, a marketer, a father and a righteous man of the Deutschland. He is a believer that love can conquer the world, crypto, funky, crazy, but love never hurts anyone. So light up a spliff and dig the vibe dude!